LEAVE TO STAY

Few people doubt that the withdrawal of troops from Syria, announced by the American leader, is nothing more than a manipulation of world public time, which has nothing to do with peace-loving intentions. In reality, there is a “castling” with which Washington seeks to strengthen its position in the region.
This, in particular, speaks for the fact that one of the lobbyists of the “withdrawal” of the troops is one of the main Washington “hawks”, presidential aide on security, John Bolton. As reported by The Wall Street Journal, this newly appointed high-ranking White House official proposes to replace the American contingent in Syria with servicemen of several Arab countries.
Such a decision, at first glance, looks quite logical. In Syria everything is getting hotter. Pro-government partisans have already stepped up in the territories occupied by the Americans and the American “proxy”, and inflicted several quite successful attacks on the invaders.
In addition, in case of further aggravation of the conflict, it is impossible to exclude the shelling of American bases, from MLRS or from heavy artillery. That will inevitably lead to significant losses that can not be hidden from the public.
To this, we can add that the bandit groups created by the Americans from the Kurdish militants and jihadists from the broken terrorist groups turned out to be not too efficient, poorly disciplined and can not solve any combat problem without the serious support of the Americans. That inevitably leads the US to increasingly deeper direct participation in hostilities, which the Americans are trying to avoid.
As you know, the armed forces of the “oil monarchies” with which Washington intends to replace or strengthen its proxies are far from being the most efficient, which shows the protracted conflict in Yemen. But in any case, these are regular armies with a rigid hierarchy and discipline. Although their ability to act without the United States is a question.
Thus, the head of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Javad Zarif, stated the US complicity in war crimes in Yemen: “It is official: it is not enough to supply bombs, determine targets and fuel Saudi warplanes. Currently, the US claims that it is also “planning” in the war with Yemen. The US involvement in the largest humanitarian disaster in the world is incomprehensible. ”
However, in any case, the Americans need to keep a “controlling stake” in the Syrian adventure. Otherwise, the Arab allies are unlikely to serve the interests of Washington, preferring to “play their own game.”
That is, the military presence in Syria, like some involvement in direct military operations, will be preserved by the Americans in any case.
If we consider that the American contingent in Syria is not too large, its “withdrawal” is likely to be a “low-budget movie” or the usual rotation of personnel.
At the same time, the desire to reduce the risk of possible losses and increase the combat capability of its proxies is by no means the most important motives of the US in the matter of involving the Arabs in a direct confrontation.
In fact, there will be much more bonuses for Washington in case of implementation of such a decision.
For example, a demonstrative “replacement” of Americans by an Arab contingent (for example, from the KSA) can give Washington hope to withdraw relations with Turkey from the Kurdish impasse, since they will allow to formally distance from the Kurdish separatists, shifting some of their concerns to the shoulders of the Saudis. Riyadh’s relations with Ankara have recently been “not very good” and therefore they can quite enjoy such a tool of pressure on Turkey. True, the Kurds themselves in this situation finally turn into a small change of coins, but, as you know, the problems of Indians do not fuck the sheriff.
Another important point is that it will be much more difficult for Damascus and his allies to strike at units of regular Arab armies than on Kurdish-jihadist gangs of the pro-American coalition.
In addition, drawing the oil monarchies into a direct war against another Arab country will definitively bury even the dreams of Arab unity, which in Washington and Tel Aviv is viewed as a hypothetical threat.
The WSJ noted that the Americans attached special importance to participation in the new intervention of the Egyptian Armed Forces. And it’s no accident. First, the Egyptian army is one of the most capable in the region. And secondly, its involvement in the Syrian conflict is guaranteed to put an end to the Russian-Egyptian rapprochement that has been outlined in recent years.
And, most importantly, the implementation of this plan will further destabilize the region, which is a necessary part of the process of creating the “Great Middle East”.
The question, however, is how much oil monarchies and Egypt are ready to embark on a military adventure that guarantees them numerous troubles, for the sake of US interests?

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